Tuesday Night features a huge slate of games and plenty of opportunities to cash in on NBA player prop vets. Below are my three best for tonight’s slate.
We’ll be using the Action Labs Player Prop tool to compare our NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks. Below, I have laid out three prop bets that I’m playing, the case for each bet and the best books to find odds on those player props.
NBA Player Props & Picks
Trae Young Over 36.5 Points + Assists (-120)
|Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks||Hawks -10.5|
|Time | TV||7:30 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
The Hawks will host the Pacers tonight as Indiana struggles amid trade rumors.
The Hawks look to pile up the wins and continue to climb in the Eastern Conference standings. A big reason for their recent success has been All-Star point guard Trae Young.
This season, Young is averaging 27.7 points and 9.3 assists per game, which both rank third in the entire NBA. Furthermore, Young loves to play against the Pacers. In fact, over the last five games against this opponent, Young is averaging 30.6 points and 10.6 assists.
He has gone over this projection in four of the last five games against the Pacers, including the lone matchup this season in which Young finished the game with 33 points and 10 assists.
The Pacers defense is struggling, to say the least. In fact, over the last five games, the Pacers rank 26th in defensive efficiency per 100 possessions and 26th in opponent assists per game. They also give up 117.4 points per game.
Lastly, according to NBA Hashtag Basketball, the Pacers are allowing opposing point guards to average 12 assists per contest. I love Young to continue his dominance against Indiana tonight.
Desmond Bane Over 2.5 3-Point Shots Made (+105)
|Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies||Grizzlies -8|
|Time | TV||8 p.m. ET | NBA League Pass|
Desmond Bane has been one of the pleasant surprises in the NBA this season.
The Grizzlies will host the Clippers tonight, which will be already the fourth and final matchup of the season. Bane has been great in the three prior matchups against the Clippers, averaging 19.3 points, 6.0 rebounds and 2.7 assists while shooting 52.4% from beyond the arc.
The Clippers are struggling to close out on shooters, and as a result are well below average defending the 3-point line. In fact, the Clippers’ season-long stats defending the 3-ball are well above average, according to NBA Advanced Stats. However, over the last five games, the Clippers rank 24th in opponent 3-point shots made and 28th in opponent 3-point percentage.
I expect Desmond Bane to continue to have success against the Clippers’ struggling 3-point defense. At +105, I love for Bane to go over this projection of 2.5 3-pointers.
LeBron James Over 34.5 Points + Assists (-115)
|Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers||Bucks -3.5|
|Time | TV||10 p.m. ET | TNT|
The Los Angeles Lakers will host the defending NBA champions tonight. The Lakers now have LeBron James back in the lineup after he missed time with a knee injury.
James picked up right where he left off, recording a triple-double in his return to action against the Knicks on Feb. 5.
LeBron has been dominating the Bucks over the course of his career. This may be due to the fact the Bucks do not have a defender who can defend his size, athleticism, and strength. In fact, in his last seven career games against the Bucks, James has scored 30 or more points six times.
In the same span, he’s is averaging 7.5 assists per contest against Milwaukee. Over the last five games, the Bucks have allowed opposing teams to average 26 assists per game, which ranks 22nd in the entire league, according to NBA Advanced Stats.
Lastly, over the last five games James has played in, he has gone over this stat projection four times.